Are you wondering how many ancestors you have? In this post, I’ll teach you how to figure out how many ancestors you have – with a slight catch.
If you really want to know how many ancestors you have, you have to learn a little bit about pedigree collapse.
For those of you looking for a simple answer, we’ll start off by looking at the easiest way to estimate the number of ancestors that we have:
The number of ancestors that we have doubles each generation
Each person, with exceptionally few exceptions, has two biological parents. Each person’s parents has two parents, and their grandparents have two parents, and so on and so on.
This means that each generation that you go back into your family tree, the number of ancestors that you have doubles.
Don’t want to do the math? No worries, I have done it for you.
Below, you can find the number of ancestors that you have going back 20 generations, or about 500 years (assuming an average of 25 years per generation):
- Parents: 2 (cumulative: 2)
- Grandparents: 4 (cumulative: 6)
- Great-grandparents: 8 (cumulative: 14)
- Great-great grandparents: 16 (cumulative: 30)
- Great-great-great grandparents: 32 (cumulative: 62)
- Great-great-great-great grandparents: 64 (cumulative: 126)
- Great-great-great-great-great grandparents: 128 (cumulative: 254)
- Great-great-great-great-great-great grandparents: 256 (cumulative: 510)
- Great-great-great-great-great-great-great grandparents: 512 (cumulative: 1,022)
- Great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great grandparents: 1,024 (cumulative: 2,046)
- Great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great grandparents: 2,048 (cumulative: 4,094)
- Great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great grandparents: 4,096 (cumulative: 8,190)
- Great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great grandparents: 8,192 (cumulative: 16,382)
- Great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great grandparents: 16,384 (cumulative: 32,766)
- Great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great grandparents: 32,768 (cumulative: 65,534)
- Great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great grandparents: 65,536 (cumulative: 131,070)
- Great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great grandparents: 131,072 (cumulative: 262,142)
- Great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great grandparents: 262,144 (cumulative: 524286)
- Great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great grandparents: 524,288 (cumulative: 1,048,574)
- Great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great-great grandparents: 1,048,576 (cumulative: 2,097,150)
Holy ancestors! That’s a lot of people!
Like, a LOT of people. Most of us (all of us?) will never be able to build a family tree going back on every line – on all branches, on both sides of the family – all the way to 20 generations.
There are just too many variables, and besides, not all of our ancestors were born where good records were kept.
How many ancestors do we really have? Realistically?
So, do we really have more than one million 18th great-grandparents? At risk of having one person e-mail me explaining that they are the exception, not one of us has more than one million 18th great-grandparents – and I’ll tell you why not.
Basically, it’s impossible for the number of ancestors that we have to simply keep doubling every generation.
To demonstrate why it’s impossible, let’s go further back – just six generations – to 26 generation back, using the doubling method. We’ll begin with our 20th generation, and the 1,048,576 18th great grandparents that we would theoretically have at that point:
- 21 generations back: 2,097,152 ancestors
- 22 generations back: 4,194,304 ancestors
- 23 generations back: 8,388,608 ancestors
- 24 generations back: 16,777,216 ancestors
- 25 generations back: 33,554,432 ancestors
- 26 generations back: 67,108,864 ancestors
As you can see, doubling the numbers every generation allows the number of ancestors to get really, really big – and really quickly! This leads us to one reason why this can’t possibly be true.
I don’t have 33 million ancestors 25 generations ago – it’s impossible. My ancestry, at a basic level, goes back to Europe (British Isles, Western Europe, and Eastern Europe), and 26 generations ago (approximately 650 years ago), population estimates for the entire European continent were right about 78 million people.
… you might be able to see where I am going with this by now.
If I go back one more generation – to 27 generations – and still within the 1300s (when about 78 million people lived in Europe), I supposedly have 134,217,728 ancestors. More than 134 million ancestors!
That’s almost twice as many people who were even living in the entire continent of Europe at the time. It’s very obvious to me that I don’t have 134 million ancestors!
To demonstrate how ludicrous it is to keep doubling the number every generation, you should know that at 30 generations back we’d have more than 1 billion ancestors, and at 40 generations, we would have more than 500 billion ancestors.
This is many more ancestors than the number of humans who have ever lived in the history of the world, which is estimated to be at a little over 107 billion people in total.
What this means is that some of our ancestors are our ancestors on more than one line of our family tree. The technical genealogical term for this is “pedigree collapse“.
Pedigree collapse is real, and everyone has it
We are now led to the obvious question. We exist, of course, and we also – most definitely – have ancestors. So how many ancestors do we really have?
In most people’s family trees, the number of ancestors starts at two (your parents) and doubles going back several generations. This means that the calculations going back a few generations are accurate – you probably do have 64 distinct great-great-great-great grandparents.
(Note: Some of us might find that some of our great-great-great-great grandparents are the same people – more on this – and why – below)
Assuming you could accurately trace your family tree back on all lines, you would eventually start to see the same people pop up on multiple lines of your tree. We know that this happens in most “modern” family trees starting at about ten generations back.
Depending on your unique ancestry, you might see this happen more recently than ten generations, and almost everyone will see it at least once by the time they’ve researched all their 1,024 8th great-grandparents.
Most people will never be able to know who each and every one of their 1,024 8th great-grandparents are, so it’s really tough to prove or disprove this statement.
Why is there pedigree collapse in every family tree?
Back in the day, people lived in small communities. It was beneficial to stay where you were born, generally speaking, since you had an established social network that made survival easier.
When people grow up and choose mates, they generally choose people who they know. This meant that most people that you know were related to you in some way, even it was distant and you didn’t even know for sure that you were related.
It was also more socially acceptable to marry people who were related to you, which is demonstrated by the fact that was many as 80% of historical marriages were between people who were were second cousins or closer.
This happened in my own family tree, and not even ten generations ago. Two of my 64 great-great-great-great grandparents (six generations ago) were first cousins.
They shared grandparents, which means that the number of ancestors that I have going back eight generations is two less than the 256 6th great-grandparents that many people have, and I can’t simply double that number to get back one generation further, since many of the ancestors are the same.
Conceivably, I will find this more and more as I go further back in my tree, and eventually, the number of ancestors that I have will start to shrink as more and more of them become the same.
And I can guarantee that this same situation occurs in your family tree, too, at some point.
So, is there a way to really know how many ancestors you have?
The only way to be sure about the number of ancestors that you have is to actually count them. But since researching all of your ancestors, equally, on every line, can prove difficult, it’s fine to use the “doubling” method to estimate your number of ancestors going back about 10 generations to your 8th great-grandparents.
Check out this graphic I made to help you visualize the number ancestors you have going back 10 generations. I didn’t put 20 generation on the chart because, well, you’ll have to read the rest of the post to find out.
Don’t forget to share this graphic on your favorite social media site or group – I appreciate you!
Conclusion
I hope that this post helped you learn about how many ancestors you have, pedigree collapse, and how this effects how many ancestors you have further back. If you have any questions about something that you read in this post, I’d love to hear from you in the discussion below.
Thanks for stopping by today!
j fellows
Sunday 17th of September 2023
Fliping it on its head. each of your 20th genoration forbers will (statisticaly speaking) have had 2 or more surviving children. from each of them down the genorations the same maths aplies: 2, 4, 8. 16.... So each of them is the ancestor of most of the population. wich means that whom ever you sleep with is your cousen thousends of times over.
Candy Thames
Saturday 16th of September 2023
I took a dna test on 23 and me Ancesrty site. A report said I am related to King Richard III. And that his mother and mine have been related to a woman born 13,000 years ago. Is this possible that they can see my genes for 13,000 years?
Mercedes
Sunday 17th of September 2023
Hi Candy! Thank you for such a great question. 23andMe results include the mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) haplogroup. Everyone who shares the same mtDNA haplogroup has a direct-line maternal ancestor in common at some point in history. This means that if you traced your mother's mother's mother's mothers family tree back to King Richard's mother's mother's mother's (etc) family tree, you would eventually come to the same woman. Scientists have been able to study small mutations in mtDNA to make these haplogroup "family trees" where they are able to estimate how far back in time specific mutations occurred. They can't tell you how far back you and King Richard might be related, but they can estimate that the specific mutation that made yours and King Richard's unique haplogroup occurred about 13,000 years ago. I hope this explanation helps! Sincerely, Mercedes
Ollobik
Saturday 2nd of September 2023
I've spent a lot of time and money researching my direct male line lineage and due to my unique surname, some fairly good family records already available to me and the fact that the English were obsessive about recording death dates and inheritances I was able to go back to roughly year 1000 AD, with a lot more certainty after the Norman Invasion. Ancestors in the Domesday Book, signatories to the Magna Carta, etc. Just considering this was my direct male line only, the number of marriages between cousins of various degrees mathematically collapses the potential number of ancestors significantly. Extrapolated to my (or anyone else's) entire body of ancestors, it's obvious that pedigree collapse is not just very real, it's a mathematical certainty.
Toby
Sunday 18th of June 2023
You are right the number doubles , or we spawn in the game , which has only been running 500 years , and everything you think you know is lies , question why have we used money for 5000 years but banks only came around 500 years ago ? And why for 400 years did prices not increase ? And in the last 100 years prices have increased 100 fold ? I think it’s coming
matt
Tuesday 17th of January 2023
Okay but this still means that there still had to be that many births. Regardless of if you have that many ancestors, you still had to be birthed and the minimum number would be whatever the double number was. And that's only if you didn't have a ancestor that had a brother that came before they did when they happened to be your direct birthing ancestor